Global Economy Faces Hard Winter Despite Covid-19 Vaccine Hopes

Economists have long used letters of the alphabet like V and U to describe economic recoveries. But the coronavirus downturn is so different from past recessions that economists are coming up with new shapes to describe the potential recovery. WSJ explains. Illustration: Jacob Reynolds

The prospect of coronavirus vaccines on the horizon has boosted hopes of an end to the pandemic-wrought downturn—but first the global economy could face a long and difficult winter.

Government restrictions and consumers’ fear of infection will continue to weigh on the global economy well into next year, even as vaccine developments offer hope of an end to the pandemic, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Tuesday.

When the world’s economy does come back, China will emerge as the big winner, according to the research body, accounting for as much as one-third of next year’s recovery, as Western countries slowly shake off the effects of 2020’s record-setting contractions.

Releasing new forecasts since a number of pharmaceutical companies said their vaccines were highly effective in recent tests, the OECD said governments must continue to provide support to their economies to ensure a speedy return to pre-pandemic levels of activity.

“It’s not like we get a vaccine and in a month everything returns to normal,” said Laurence Boone, the OECD’s chief economist.

Source: The Wall Street journal

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